I also wonder if the generation of the now 20 - 30 year olds will be interested in our cars when they are 40 - 50 or will they still be into their 80's - 90's
As a member of this forum in their late 20’s this is a subject which I have often thought about given that If I’m still driving my Torana at 65 years of age the car is going to be closer to 80 years old.
Your right about the second and third tier , if the GTR is near half the value of an XU1 , and the S's with a two door now worth about 1/3 of the price of an XU1 , have they gained on the performance cars over the last few years , because they didn't suffering the big drop in price the XU1 did . If my comparison is right , what was the percentage three years ago ? It looks like The two door S has had the biggest increase in value out of the three tiers .
It is that $20k price bracket that people seem to see as disposable.
I think that these there is a correlation between these two points.
As these cars get older the people that are going to buy them will fall into two categories. The investor/purist types who will always pay good money for matching number top tier cars. And the other category being people which have an affinity with the model/look of a car rather than being so concerned about originality and buy the car for the enjoyment of driving it rather than just owning it.
One factor that no one has mentioned which will dictate future demand that no one has mentioned is fashion. As an example take a look at the current trend in motorbikes of cafe racers/bobbers ect. This demand for these sorts of 70’s modified bikes must have increased 1000%+ in the last 5 years and is largely due to being ‘trendy’ at the moment and cheap enough to be accessible.
There will come a time in the future when this will happen for older Australian built cars. Driven not by people who grew up when the cars were in showrooms across the country, but rather remember when they were a more common sight on Australian Roads. I would imagine demand will increase for cars which are more accessible i.e sub 20k Turn key cars which have a period correct colour/engine/interior (be it correct for that particular car and/or modified or not). With Holden/Ford ceasing production of cars in Australia this has only compounded the likelihood of this occurring. Nostalgia is a powerful thing.
The cars that will really suffer in years to come will be modified cars that have efi conversions, big wheels, trick paint/interior. There is going to be less and less demand for these sorts of cars as the price of fuel increases and the technology with which they have been retrofitted become older and trends in modified cars change.
Top tier cars will always hold value, but sadly I would foresee that less and less will become driven as the owners who purchased them for higher and higher sums will look at them more as an investment than as a hobby.
You would make a lot more buying two clean $20,000 Lc/Lj S/SL Toranas and selling them in 10 years than buying one $40,000 Lc/Lj Gtr.
Edited by red6, 24 November 2014 - 09:21 PM.